Inflation
CPI, PCE, producer prices, expectations, and how inflation changes rate expectations.
The goal is not to predict every release. It is to understand what the market is focused on, when risk changes, and why the same data can matter differently across regimes.
CPI, PCE, producer prices, expectations, and how inflation changes rate expectations.
Payrolls, unemployment, wages, jobless claims, vacancies, and labor-market cooling.
Policy rates, forward guidance, yield curves, and the gap between expectations and decisions.
Balance-sheet expansion and contraction, reserves, liquidity, and financial conditions.
Growth, consumption, activity surveys, and the interaction between growth, inflation, and policy.
Company earnings, guidance, index concentration, major announcements, gaps, and event timing.
Rates, liquidity, index concentration, session timing, and immediate price response.
Intraday volatility, gamma sensitivity, time decay, and event timing.
Rate differentials, central-bank expectations, currency-specific releases, and global risk appetite.
Interpret the data differently during tightening, QT transition, easing, and QE/liquidity expansion.
Use context as one decision layer, then compare it with actual price behavior.